In Simple Words
When students are assigned to a high school that is far away or unappealing, they intentionally drop out during their first year to re-study for the central entrance exam. This is similar to a college student leaving a safety university after one semester to re-take college entrance exams in hopes of securing admission to a top-choice campus.
PODER pupils by observed CBT attendance
- Attended no sessions
- Adjusted exam re-sitting 2.5 percentage points higher
- Attended five or more sessions
- Adjusted exam re-sitting 6.8 percentage points lower
2017 next-year COMIPEMS re-sitting. Matching versus no-offer controls assumes selection explained by observed traits. Doses not randomized; re-sitting is not permanent dropout.
See source →Research question
High school dropouts in centralized assignment systems do not always reflect total educational abandonment, as students frequently disengage to retake placement exams for better school assignments.
Participants
N = 5,274 10th-grade students (with a 28.0% baseline re-test rate) across 20 public upper secondary schools in Mexico City.
Study Design
Randomized field experiment tracking administrative re-registration for the COMIPEMS entrance examination combined with 11th-grade enrollment records.
Results
Attending 5 or more CBT sessions reduced the probability of retaking the COMIPEMS placement exam by 6.8 percentage points (p < 0.01), whereas non-attending treatment students saw a 2.5 percentage point increase (p < 0.05) in re-sitting the exam as part of disengagement.
Takeaway
Distinguish permanent educational dropouts from strategic exam re-applicants when measuring program success in centralized upper secondary assignment systems.
Source and citation
See source →Read alongside the research
Plain-English glossary
Original explanations, informed by the references below. Examples are illustrations, not data from the studies above. The research text stays unchanged.
- Percentage points
The difference between two percentages.
ExampleA rise from 40% to 50% is 10 percentage points. Relative to the starting value, that is a 25% increase.
Office for National Statistics · Percentages ↗Read more about percentage points →