Tag
displacement_effects
4 findings
Labour & employmentDisplacement Externalities in Active Labor Market ProgramsMandatory job search assistance increased participant exit rates from unemployment by 17.9% to 20% (p < 0.01), but reduced nonparticipant exit rates by 4.8% to 5.0% overall (p < 0.10) and by 7.9% in South Jutland (p < 0.05). At three months, nonparticipants were 2.7 percentage points less likely to find employment (p < 0.05).RCTLabour & employmentEquilibrium Displacement ExternalitiesAt baseline French market tightness ($\theta = 0.42$), displacement externalities reduce net aggregate job creation to 68%–73% of the measured firm-level treatment impact ($ED(\sigma)/\sigma AB \approx 0.68\text{--}0.73$), demonstrating that equilibrium spillover losses offset roughly 27%–32% of firm-level hiring gains.Expert TheoryLabour & employmentFormal Sector Labor Supply Expansion Without Local Sector DisplacementBusiness process outsourcing employment increased by 4.6 percentage points (p < 0.01) with no statistically significant decline in agricultural labor (-0.008, p > 0.10) or non-BPO paid work (-0.012, p > 0.10), proving total female labor supply expanded from previously inactive populations.RCTLabour & employmentRandomized Saturation Spillover DynamicsAverage indirect spillover effects on untreated neighbors were statistically zero across employment (-4.6 percentage points, p > 0.10) and earnings (-41.1 ETB, p > 0.10), proving that search interventions at this scale do not displace non-treated youth in integrated urban labor markets.RCT