Tag
sutva_violation
2 findings
Labour & employmentDisplacement Externalities in Active Labor Market ProgramsMandatory job search assistance increased participant exit rates from unemployment by 17.9% to 20% (p < 0.01), but reduced nonparticipant exit rates by 4.8% to 5.0% overall (p < 0.10) and by 7.9% in South Jutland (p < 0.05). At three months, nonparticipants were 2.7 percentage points less likely to find employment (p < 0.05).RCTEconomics (general)Policy-Relevant Treatment Effect vs. Microeconometric BiasAt experimental intensity ($\tau = 0.3$), participants enjoyed a 5.4 percentage point higher monthly matching rate than nonparticipants (0.245 vs 0.191). However, the policy-relevant treatment effect under full rollout ($\tau = 1.0$) was only 0.3 percentage points (0.208 vs 0.205), proving standard microeconometric trials overestimate nationwide impact by over 1,700%.Observational Study