Tag
belief_updating
8 findings
Labour & employmentSubjective Return Belief InvariancePhone call treatment produced an effect of -1.1 percentage points on expected offer probability (p = 0.542) and +0.2 percentage points on percentage of jobs deemed desirable (p = 0.929), confirming that subjective beliefs about match quality and interview returns were unchanged by treatment.RCTEconomics (general)Belief Updating Realignment from Wage TransparencyDisclosing true supervisor pay reduced the mean absolute difference between perceived supervisor pay and actual salary from 35,320 SLL in the control group to 482 SLL in the treatment group (p < 0.001), where only 30% held accurate beliefs at baseline (37% underestimated, 33% overestimated).RCTLabour & employmentNon-Cognitive Soft Skills AssessmentTrainees who received objective feedback about their soft skills updated their expectations in line with reality regarding eligible jobs, though they became less willing to accept lower-quality employment.RCTFirms & operationsPhased Pilot Implementation Strategy for Belief UpdatingNonadoption driven by incorrect profitability beliefs dropped from 34.6% to 15.2% over 9 months in treatment plants as pilot demonstrations built owner trust, enabling the rollout of more complex human resource and incentive practices.RCTLabour & employmentSelf-Belief Updating and Directed Job SearchYoung job seekers in Johannesburg updated their beliefs about their abilities, redirected search efforts toward aligned sectors, and cumulatively earned 1.8 times more than program operating costs within 3.5 months.RCTLabour & employmentSobering Belief ShockMarket exposure reduced worker reservation wages by 6.6% (p < 0.10) and wage mismatch by 4.2% (p < 0.10), while increasing job board visits by 3.01 visits (p < 0.05); treated firms increased professional vacancy advertising by 12 percentage points (p < 0.01) and job board recruitment by 9.6 percentage points (p < 0.05).RCTEconomics (general)Information-Induced Stigma Belief IsolationStigma information significantly increased the perception that society looks down on entry-level jobs by 0.10 units on a 3-point scale (p < 0.01) and decreased agreement that family would be proud by 0.15 units on a 5-point scale (p < 0.10), while having no statistically significant effect on immediate expected salary (+57 EGP/month, p > 0.10) or 5-year expected salary (-92 EGP/month, p > 0.10).RCTLabour & employmentUnsafe Search RegimeProves mathematically that in the intermediate "unsafe regime" where minimum qualification $z$ binds, a downward belief shock ($\mu$) increases search expenditure ($s$) to avoid remaining unmatched under vacancy penalty ($\kappa$).Expert Theory