Long-Term Job Retention Matching in Counseling Programs
Standard job placement evaluations frequently focus on short-term unemployment exits, which can encourage rapid placement into temporary or low-quality jobs. Evaluating long-term job retention measures whether counseling interventions produce durable worker-firm matches rather than temporary exits.
Picture this
Think of a job agency that focuses on helping people find stable, long-term careers rather than quick temp jobs that end after a few weeks. By spending extra time finding the right fit, people stay employed in the same job for over six months instead of falling back into unemployment.
What the evidence says
Public intensive counseling increased the probability of finding a job lasting at least six months by 34% (a 7.2 percentage point increase over the counterfactual). Private intensive counseling increased lasting job placement by 27% (a 5.0 percentage point increase).
- Who
- Nearly 44,000 job seekers entering unemployment entitled to at least one year of benefits across 216 local public employment offices in France.
- How
- RCT evaluating Local Average Treatment Effect (LATE) estimates for employment lasting at least six months over a 12-month post-assignment period using administrative employment records.
What to do
Evaluate job counseling policy interventions based on 6-month and 12-month job retention rates rather than short-term 30-day placement benchmarks.
From the source
"The public intensive program increased the likelihood of finding a job lasting at least six months by the end of the counseling period by 34 percent a 7.2 percentage point increase compared to the counterfactual situation."
public-or-private-job-counseling-in-france_0.pdf