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The job application workshop generated a USD 10 per month earnings increase per worker at a one-off marginal cost of USD 18.20 per person, producing an impact-to-cost ratio that substantially exceeds conventional vocational training and cash transfer programs.
The job fair produced minimal direct hiring (1 hire per 12 attending firms), but the temporary reduction in meeting costs corrected underlying misperceptions, driving a 26% increase in job board visits among jobseekers within 6 weeks and a 12 percentage point increase in professional vacancy advertising by firms (p < 0.01).
Jobseekers assigned to high-quality caseworkers achieved higher baseline human capital investment index scores (9.50 vs -7.33) and received significantly more training proposals in the first quarter (88.3 vs 77.7, p < 0.01) than those assigned to low-quality caseworkers. However, financial transfer treatment effects on actual training completions did not differ significantly between high- and low-quality caseworkers (-1.36 vs +4.85, p > 0.10).
The treatment impact on permanent vacancy creation with pre-screening services was statistically equivalent between low-tightness markets (+0.033) and high-tightness markets (+0.061) with a p-value for equal treatment effect of 0.386.
Treated firms exhibited a 24% increase in permanent contract vacancy postings (0.047 additional vacancies over a 0.199 control mean, p < 0.01) and a 10.2% increase in permanent contract hires of registered jobseekers (0.046 additional hires over 0.450 control mean, p < 0.05), generating 17.5 additional theoretical workdays per firm (p < 0.05).
At eight months, untreated job seekers in treated communities were 2.1 percentage points less likely to obtain long-term employment than job seekers in communities where no counseling was offered, and in highly competitive job markets, untreated peers experienced a 7.7 percentage point drop in employment relative to pure comparison areas [6, 7, 12].
Short-term employment gains at eight months were driven entirely by job seekers finding fixed-term contracts with zero increase in permanent employment contracts, and all employment advantages vanished completely after twelve months.