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Intensified active policies produced a net benefit to society of €2,000 per unemployed individual exposed to the intensive regime, driven by a 2.2-week (15%) reduction in average unemployment duration.
Consulting increased business literacy by 0.3 questions on a 4-question quiz (0.52 standard deviations, p < 0.05), but generated an average stated income change of only 0.90 GH¢ (upper bound 95% CI of 41 GH¢ / 28% increase), which is negligible relative to the $75/hour consultant cost. Participants expressed a mean willingness-to-pay of only 5.9 GH¢ (US $4) per hour for continued consulting.
Collecting community information and providing truthfulness incentives adds an estimated INR 40 (US$0.70) per loan, which is substantially lower than the generated monthly returns of 24-30% (or US$11.40 extra monthly household profits) achieved by high-potential entrepreneurs.
Calculates wave-by-wave net return by summing expected participant welfare net of costs (weighted by treatment assignment shares $(1-\gamma)\hat{p}_{t}^{dx} + \gamma/k$) and the marginal decrease in treatment effect estimator variance. The experiment continues if and only if expected net return is greater than zero.