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The optimal targeted treatment policy produced an estimated 1.7 percentage point increase in 6-week employment over control (a 35% gain, 95% credible set [0.001, 0.034]), compared to a 0.5 percentage point gain for the optimal non-targeted policy.
The optimal targeted policy yielded an estimated 1.7 percentage point increase in employment relative to control (a 35% gain), whereas the optimal non-targeted policy yielded only a 0.6 percentage point gain [21].
Cash transfers increased Syrian wage employment by 5.2 percentage points at 2 months (p = 0.017) and 3.8 percentage points at 4 months (p = 0.027), while raising earnings by 65%. In contrast, cash had no significant effect on Jordanians (-0.007 at 2 months, -0.025 at 4 months), as Jordanians had 25% higher baseline daily expenditure, searched 30% more intensely, and filed twice as many job applications in the control group.