Tag
labor_market
5 findings
Labour & employmentActive Labour Market Policy Threat EffectIntensification of the policy regime increased unemployment exit rates by 20% to 40% (a 20–22% time-invariant overall increase), reducing average unemployment duration by 2.2 weeks (approximately 15%). The perceived risk of activation accounted for the job-finding increase, whereas actual program participation exhibited zero or negative direct impacts.RCTLabour & employmentEmployment Path Dependency and ScarringHaving temporary or informal work after 1 year showed zero statistically significant correlation with 4-year earnings compared to remaining unemployed. Short-run permanent work status accounted for 23% and short-run earnings accounted for 56% of the total 4-year earnings treatment effect.RCTLabour & employmentEducational Labor Market SegmentationA worker with tertiary education is **7 times more likely** to hold a permanent job and **4 times more likely** to hold a formal job compared to a high school graduate; baseline control group permanent job rates were only 12% overall.Observational StudyLabour & employmentSkill Certification and Signaling WorkshopThe workshop increased 4-year earnings by 20% (USD 10 per month) above the control mean at a one-off cost of USD 18.20 per person. It increased short-run permanent employment by 6.9 percentage points (a nearly 60% increase over the 12% control mean) and increased job tenure duration by 10%.RCTLabour & employmentSkill Signaling via Application WorkshopThe workshop increased the probability of **permanent employment by 60%** (6.9 percentage points over a 12% control mean, p < 0.01) after one year. Four years later, the intervention increased **monthly earnings by 20%** (299.5 ETB, p < 0.05) and **job satisfaction by 7 percentage points** (p < 0.10).RCT